Model Predictions
| Model | UAB Blazers | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.7% | 44.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.0% | 51.0% | +0.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.5% | 39.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.2% | 50.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +1 (84-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UAB Blazers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Efrem Johnson * | 34 | 6-12 | 1-5 | 5-5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Yaxel Lendeborg * | 33 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 5-8 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 13 | -5.1 |
| Tony Toney * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -6.1 |
| Christian Coleman * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Ja'Borri McGhee * | 17 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -1 | -7.1 |
| Alejandro Vasquez | 30 | 8-12 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | -2.6 |
| Tyren Moore | 20 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 2 | -10.8 |
| Bradley Ezewiro | 17 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | -7.5 |
| Will Shaver | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | +5.8 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Kinziger * | 39 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 14 | +8.1 |
| Dalton Banks * | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 9 | +15.7 |
| Ty Pence * | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +1.4 |
| Landon Wolf * | 25 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | -0.4 |
| Chase Walker * | 23 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 5-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 17 | +7.3 |
| Malachi Poindexter | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 4 | -12.6 |
| Jack Daugherty | 14 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +8.7 |
| Caden Boser | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -5.5 |
| Cameron Barnes | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.1 |
* = starter