Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Richmond Spiders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.4% | 67.6% | +4.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.8% | 61.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Richmond Spiders +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Hill * | 35 | 9-18 | 0-4 | 4-10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 9 | - |
| Ethan Brittain-Watts * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -16.6 |
| Juanse Gorosito * | 31 | 6-12 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 7 | -17.5 |
| Mickey Pearson Jr. * | 29 | 3-10 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -13.6 |
| Payton Sparks * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -11.8 |
| Ben Hendriks | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +5.3 |
| Jeremiah Hernandez | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1.8 |
| TJ Burch | 10 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Mason Jones | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
Richmond Spiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apostolos Roumoglou * | 37 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | +15.6 |
| Mikkel Tyne * | 37 | 8-15 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 12 | +12.5 |
| Delonnie Hunt * | 34 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 15-18 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 28 | 22 | -2.3 |
| Jonathan Beagle * | 27 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +14.5 |
| Jason Roche * | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +2.9 |
| Collin Tanner | 22 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | +20.9 |
| Dusan Neskovic | 19 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +5.8 |
| Mike Walz | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Ryan Soulis | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.0 |
* = starter