Model Predictions
| Model | App State Mountaineers | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.1% | 89.9% | +12.0 | ✓ (8.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.7% | 61.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 39.2% | 60.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Huntley | 35 | 6-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -1.5 |
| M. Tate | 35 | 8-17 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | -2.2 |
| A. Dodd | 34 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2.4 |
| D. Conners | 29 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | -4.1 |
| J. Beaubrun | 23 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | +8.3 |
| M. Marcus Jr. | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -9.4 |
| J. Threadgill | 12 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -1.0 |
| A. Alston | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Floyd | 30 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +2.4 |
| L. Jossell | 30 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +5.4 |
| B. Lorient | 29 | 6-7 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 19 | +3.5 |
| M. Sissoko | 29 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +16.0 |
| R. Walker | 24 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +1.0 |
| A. Wright | 21 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 3 | -12.7 |
| G. Newell | 20 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -4.0 |
| J. Massie | 17 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.8 |
* = starter