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2024-11-30

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 27.3% 72.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 13.4% 86.6% +10.3 (12.3 off)
Pythagorean 44.6% 55.4% -
Efficiency 44.6% 55.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.3% 78.7% -
Log Adjusted 20.8% 79.2% -
Points Off/Def 28.2% 71.8% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide -2 (81-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
TJ Bamba * 30 5-13 1-2 1-2 3 3 0 1 2 12 4 +10.7
N. Bittle * 26 6-14 0-5 7-8 9 3 0 0 0 19 17 +2.7
J. Shelstad * 26 3-9 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 1 1 6 1 +7.0
J. Tracey * 26 3-8 0-3 0-0 1 4 1 1 1 6 4 +2.4
B. Angel * 16 1-4 0-1 2-3 2 0 0 0 2 4 0 -4.6
K. Barthelemy 30 7-11 4-5 4-4 4 4 2 0 0 22 21 +9.5
K. Evans Jr. 14 1-2 0-0 1-2 5 3 1 0 1 3 9 +13.2
S. Cook 14 3-5 0-0 5-6 4 0 1 0 0 11 11 -
R. Moss 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -4.2
M. Cook 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears * 35 3-14 1-11 4-5 4 5 3 1 3 11 7 -4.4
G. Nelson * 28 3-6 0-2 1-2 7 6 0 1 3 7 12 +3.1
L. Philon * 26 6-8 2-2 1-2 7 2 1 0 2 15 15 -6.7
C. Omoruyi * 18 3-6 0-0 1-2 6 0 0 0 1 7 6 -0.7
L. Wrightsell Jr. * 15 3-5 2-4 2-2 1 1 1 1 0 10 9 -5.8
A. Holloway 24 4-12 3-10 0-0 2 5 0 0 2 11 4 -3.9
J. Stevenson 19 3-4 3-4 2-3 5 0 0 0 1 11 11 +0.3
M. Dioubate 18 1-4 0-1 4-4 5 2 1 0 1 6 9 +0.9
D. Reid 13 1-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 3 1 -1.5
A. Sherrell 4 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -5.1

* = starter