Model Predictions
| Model | Utah State Aggies | North Texas Mean Green | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.9% | 43.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 62.3% | 37.7% | -2.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.7% | 45.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Texas Mean Green -4 (57-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Falslev * | 35 | 10-16 | 5-8 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 18 | +4.2 |
| I. Martinez * | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 7-8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 4 | +10.6 |
| A. Gateretse * | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | +1.3 |
| D. Allen * | 18 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2.1 |
| I. Johnson * | 10 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +1.8 |
| D. Akanno | 27 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | +1.8 |
| D. Albury | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | +5.8 |
| K. Templin | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +5.5 |
| T. Anderson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| J. Barnes | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.2 |
| I. Davis | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
North Texas Mean Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Wright * | 32 | 6-18 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 3 | -1.8 |
| R. Walker * | 29 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -10.6 |
| J. Floyd * | 28 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | -1.8 |
| G. Newell * | 27 | 5-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | -1.1 |
| M. Sissoko * | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | +2.1 |
| L. Jossell | 22 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +3.6 |
| B. Lorient | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -4.9 |
| J. Massie | 21 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -3.3 |
* = starter