Model Predictions
| Model | Ohio Bobcats | Texas State Bobcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.3% | 47.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 44.2% | 55.8% | +1.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Texas State Bobcats +9 (74-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ohio Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Clayton * | 35 | 5-13 | 4-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 12 | -6.0 |
| Jackson Paveletzke * | 34 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 10 | +3.1 |
| Aidan Hadaway * | 32 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | -6.7 |
| Elmore James * | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -1.3 |
| AJ Brown * | 20 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -6.1 |
| Ajay Sheldon | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Shereef Mitchell | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.7 |
| Vic Searls | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Elijah Elliott | 7 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | +0.6 |
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 39 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 36 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 13 | +8.0 |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 34 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +9.2 |
| Christian Turner * | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Tylan Pope * | 22 | 9-14 | 2-3 | 4-7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 21 | +3.1 |
| Drue Drinnon | 20 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +9.6 |
| Austin Green | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.5 |
| Nate Deer | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter