Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Princeton Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.5% | 72.5% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 33.5% | 66.5% | +3.8 | ✗ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.0% | 52.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 41.2% | 58.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Princeton Tigers -3 (80-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaden Gumbs * | 36 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | +0.8 |
| Tyrel Morgan * | 33 | 9-14 | 1-3 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 27 | 23 | +2.9 |
| Joshua O'Garro * | 33 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | +0.8 |
| Christian Turner * | 31 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Tylan Pope * | 30 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 14 | 13 | +3.0 |
| Drue Drinnon | 27 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | +3.2 |
| Nate Deer | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.3 |
| Austin Green | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.1 |
| Bessanty Saragba | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.1 |
Princeton Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caden Pierce * | 36 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +0.6 |
| Xaivian Lee * | 36 | 11-20 | 2-5 | 6-9 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 30 | 20 | -0.8 |
| Dalen Davis * | 32 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | -0.8 |
| Blake Peters * | 30 | 5-11 | 5-11 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Philip Byriel * | 24 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +7.6 |
| Malik Abdullahi | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Jackson Hicke | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +3.4 |
| Peyton Seals | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -9.5 |
| Jack Stanton | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.3 |
| Jack Scott | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
| Jacob Huggins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
* = starter