Model Predictions
| Model | UT Arlington Mavericks | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 55.7% | 44.3% | -1.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.2% | 32.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UT Arlington Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lance Ware * | 34 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 16 | +7.3 |
| Jaden Wells * | 33 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +9.2 |
| Darius Burford * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Brody Robinson * | 31 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 6-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 12 | +4.2 |
| Raysean Seamster * | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 6 | +1.6 |
| Kade Douglas | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +1.4 |
| Brandyn Talbot | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -4.2 |
| Troy Hupstead | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +13.5 |
| Jaxon Ellingsworth | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2.9 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anton Brookshire * | 40 | 5-14 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -7.6 |
| Quan Lax * | 38 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 14 | -7.6 |
| LJ Thomas * | 31 | 5-14 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 6 | -4.5 |
| Tate McCubbin * | 30 | 4-9 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -9.3 |
| Javar Daniel * | 16 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +1.3 |
| Tekao Carpenter | 28 | 2-8 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -6.2 |
| Darius Dawson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.3 |
| Daniel Loos | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -4.5 |
| Bowen Hammer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| Me'Kell Burries | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter