Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Austin Peay Governors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.8% | 56.2% | +1.4 | ✓ (10.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 47.7% | 52.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Austin Peay Governors +12 (62-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. McMullen * | 37 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 8 | -11.3 |
| T. Lane * | 37 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | -12.2 |
| Z. Nutter * | 35 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 9-14 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -10.2 |
| M. Brown * | 33 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 7 | -10.1 |
| C. Edwards * | 19 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +1.9 |
| C. Peters | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -4.0 |
| J. Hamilton | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +0.0 |
Austin Peay Governors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q. Lax * | 40 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +12.2 |
| A. Brookshire * | 40 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 10 | +12.3 |
| LJ Thomas * | 39 | 9-22 | 3-4 | 4-7 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 9 | +11.4 |
| J. Daniel * | 25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | +4.1 |
| I. Haney * | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -2.0 |
| T. Carpenter | 19 | 4-9 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +4.2 |
| T. McCubbin | 16 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | +6.0 |
| D. Loos | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Dawson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| B. Hammer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.0 |
* = starter