Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 36.9% | 63.1% | +3.0 | ✗ (10.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.6% | 51.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 39.7% | 60.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.0% | 58.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: UCF Knights -7 (102-109). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Carter * | 52 | 6-19 | 3-10 | 5-6 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 8 | +16.9 |
| Jalen Reed * | 48 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 7-8 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 26 | +15.2 |
| Dji Bailey * | 44 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 11 | +27.7 |
| Jordan Sears * | 41 | 8-18 | 6-15 | 3-5 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 25 | 19 | +19.5 |
| Corey Chest * | 27 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 14 | +2.7 |
| Vyctorius Miller | 27 | 6-13 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +17.9 |
| Derek Fountain | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -2.2 |
| Robert Miller III | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -13.8 |
| Curtis Givens III | 8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | -4.7 |
| Mike Williams III | 5 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -8.0 |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Johnson * | 49 | 8-16 | 4-8 | 7-10 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 27 | -7.5 |
| Keyshawn Hall * | 43 | 7-22 | 1-6 | 6-8 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 8 | -28.8 |
| Jordan Ivy-Curry * | 42 | 7-18 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Dallan Coleman * | 41 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -9.9 |
| Moustapha Thiam * | 18 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -28.1 |
| Benny Williams | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9 | +14.1 |
| Rokas Jocius | 21 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +13.8 |
| Nils Machowski | 11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.1 |
| D. Johnson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Tyler Hendricks | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -3.1 |
| JJ Taylor | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.3 |
* = starter