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2024-11-26

Model Predictions

Model Jacksonville Dolphins Siena Saints Spread Result
Elo 43.2% 56.8% -
Bradley-Terry 59.0% 41.0% -
Margin 50.3% 49.7% -0.1 (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 45.8% 54.2% -
Efficiency 45.7% 54.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 64.8% 35.2% -
Log Adjusted 64.9% 35.1% -
Points Off/Def 48.5% 51.5% -

Actual: Siena Saints -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jacksonville Dolphins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. McCray V * 28 8-16 3-5 2-4 8 5 1 0 2 21 17 +9.7
Z. Bell * 23 3-5 1-2 4-4 1 4 2 0 1 11 12 +12.3
J. Spence * 23 2-6 0-1 5-6 3 1 1 0 0 9 8 +3.7
K. Munson * 22 2-4 0-0 3-6 2 1 0 0 3 7 3 -7.6
S. Payne III * 15 4-6 0-0 2-3 4 0 2 1 0 10 11 +9.1
Z. Nwokeji 26 3-7 2-4 2-2 6 0 0 0 1 10 8 +3.8
E. Borio 22 2-4 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 5 4 +6.0
C. Arias 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 +1.3
D. Rivers 12 1-3 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 2 0 +8.6
K. Jackson 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -3.4

Siena Saints

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Freeman * 37 3-10 2-8 4-5 4 4 1 0 3 12 8 +8.4
B. Coyle * 24 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 9 3 -12.0
M. Jackson * 23 2-4 0-1 0-1 2 5 2 0 1 4 8 -13.4
R. Ducharme * 12 1-4 0-3 1-1 0 1 1 0 0 3 1 -2.2
P. Carey * 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -6.4
G. Doty 37 7-11 2-3 5-7 9 0 0 0 0 21 19 +1.5
J. Shoats 21 0-5 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 5 0 -5 -10.5
T. Jones 20 4-9 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 1 0 11 7 +3.5
M. Ojo 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.3
M. Wilmoth 3 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 0 1 2 4 -6.9

* = starter