Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Siena Saints | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 50.3% | 49.7% | -0.1 | ✓ (10.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.8% | 54.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 45.7% | 54.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.9% | 35.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Siena Saints -11 (64-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCray V * | 28 | 8-16 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 17 | +9.7 |
| Z. Bell * | 23 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | +12.3 |
| J. Spence * | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +3.7 |
| K. Munson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3 | -7.6 |
| S. Payne III * | 15 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +9.1 |
| Z. Nwokeji | 26 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +3.8 |
| E. Borio | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +6.0 |
| C. Arias | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.3 |
| D. Rivers | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | +8.6 |
| K. Jackson | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.4 |
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freeman * | 37 | 3-10 | 2-8 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +8.4 |
| B. Coyle * | 24 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | -12.0 |
| M. Jackson * | 23 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | -13.4 |
| R. Ducharme * | 12 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.2 |
| P. Carey * | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | -6.4 |
| G. Doty | 37 | 7-11 | 2-3 | 5-7 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 19 | +1.5 |
| J. Shoats | 21 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | -5 | -10.5 |
| T. Jones | 20 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +3.5 |
| M. Ojo | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.3 |
| M. Wilmoth | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6.9 |
* = starter