Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.6% | 38.4% | -2.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.2% | 21.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack +3 (64-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Shulga * | 34 | 6-12 | 2-6 | 3-5 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 12 | -5.1 |
| Jack Clark * | 32 | 1-9 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -0.5 |
| J. Bamisile * | 29 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | +0.9 |
| Phillip Russell * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -2 | -13.2 |
| Christian Fermin * | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Zeb Jackson | 29 | 5-11 | 4-9 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 18 | -2.6 |
| Michael Belle | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.8 |
| Luke Bamgboye | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -9.2 |
| Brandon Jennings | 14 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.1 |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tre Coleman * | 37 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Kobe Sanders * | 36 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +13.5 |
| Nick Davidson * | 36 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | +3.2 |
| Brandon Love * | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +7.3 |
| Xavier DuSell * | 20 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +20.5 |
| Tyler Rolison | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3.3 |
| Justin McBride | 11 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +3.4 |
| K.J. Hymes | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -4.6 |
| Chuck Bailey III | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
* = starter