Model Predictions
| Model | South Dakota State Jackrabbits | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.1% | 28.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 66.4% | 33.6% | -3.7 | ✓ (16.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 74.7% | 25.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears -20 (55-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
South Dakota State Jackrabbits
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Larson * | 30 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | +20.7 |
| Oscar Cluff * | 28 | 8-11 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 25 | +23.3 |
| Matthew Mors * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | +23.2 |
| Joe Sayler * | 22 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 10 | +24.3 |
| Kalen Garry * | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +6.2 |
| Stoney Hadnot | 17 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +8.5 |
| Jaden Jackson | 16 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | -7.6 |
| Nate Barnhart | 14 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +7.2 |
| Isaac Lindsey | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +2.1 |
| William Whorton | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +0.1 |
| Damon Wilkinson | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -5.0 |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King * | 33 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -20.7 |
| Dez White * | 29 | 5-13 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | -14.5 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | -21.3 |
| Jalen Hampton * | 23 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -17.4 |
| Chase Martin * | 22 | 2-9 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -1 | -15.1 |
| Logan Epes | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Wesley Oba | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -5.1 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -4.3 |
| Makhai Valentine | 12 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 3-5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +0.8 |
| Sam Murray II | 5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.1 |
| Tommy Pinegar | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter