Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Boston College Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.0% | 69.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.6% | 66.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 29.8% | 70.2% | +4.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 48.9% | 51.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.4% | 63.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boston College Eagles +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaxton King * | 39 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | +0.9 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu * | 37 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 12 | +2.0 |
| Jalen Hampton * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 17 | -1.1 |
| Dez White * | 34 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 12-13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 17 | -7.1 |
| Vincent Brady II * | 29 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 7 | -2.1 |
| Chase Martin | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | +2.0 |
| Mozae Downing-Rivers | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Wesley Oba | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Sam Murray II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -0.0 |
Boston College Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chas Kelley III * | 38 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 8 | +1.0 |
| Donald Hand Jr. * | 38 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 6-8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 13 | +2.1 |
| Elijah Strong * | 33 | 5-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Chad Venning * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +2.0 |
| Dion Brown * | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -2.0 |
| Fred Payne | 29 | 6-8 | 3-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| Roger McFarlane | 23 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Jayden Hastings | 14 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 6 | -1.9 |
| Joshua Beadle | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3.0 |
| Luka Toews | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -2.0 |
* = starter