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2024-11-25

Model Predictions

Model Missouri State Bears Boston College Eagles Spread Result
Elo 31.0% 69.0% -
Bradley-Terry 33.6% 66.4% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (2.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.9% 51.1% -
Efficiency 48.9% 51.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% -
Log Adjusted 26.0% 74.0% -
Points Off/Def 36.4% 63.6% -

Actual: Boston College Eagles +2 (76-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Missouri State Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. King * 39 3-10 2-5 1-2 2 3 0 0 3 9 1 +0.9
M. Osei-Bonsu * 37 5-12 0-0 3-4 7 3 1 1 1 13 12 +2.0
J. Hampton * 37 5-8 0-0 5-6 10 0 1 0 1 15 17 -1.1
D. White * 34 6-11 1-4 12-13 3 1 1 0 2 25 17 -7.1
V. Brady II * 29 3-8 0-3 1-2 5 6 0 1 4 7 7 -2.1
C. Martin 28 2-6 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 1 +2.0
M. Downing-Rivers 14 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.1
W. Oba 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1.0
S. Murray II 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -0.0

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Kelley III * 38 2-3 1-2 0-0 0 6 1 1 2 5 8 +1.0
D. Hand Jr. * 38 5-11 2-6 6-8 8 1 1 0 4 18 13 +2.1
E. Strong * 33 5-12 3-5 0-0 4 2 0 2 0 13 9 -
C. Venning * 25 2-4 0-0 0-2 3 1 0 4 3 4 5 +2.0
D. Brown * 18 2-5 1-1 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 5 7 -2.0
F. Payne 29 6-8 3-3 3-4 3 1 0 0 2 18 12 -
R. McFarlane 23 2-5 0-1 1-4 3 3 0 1 1 5 6 -1.9
J. Hastings 14 4-6 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 8 6 -1.9
J. Beadle 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 +3.0
L. Toews 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

* = starter