Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 12.6% | 87.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.4% | 97.6% | +20.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +35 (80-45). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isaiah Adams * | 30 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -30.7 |
| Sonny Wilson * | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | -27.8 |
| Javan Simmons * | 27 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | -21.9 |
| Sam Lewis * | 25 | 1-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -4 | -32.7 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 21 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -23.0 |
| Seth Hubbard | 21 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | -8.6 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -8.0 |
| Bryce Ford | 18 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -14.1 |
| Tyler Ode | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.5 |
| Grgur Brcic | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Jaylen Murphy | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.7 |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Howell * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 12 | +32.6 |
| Tyler McGhie * | 30 | 10-16 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 27 | 21 | +28.8 |
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones * | 29 | 8-10 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 12 | +36.4 |
| Hayden Gray * | 27 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +21.0 |
| Nordin Kapic * | 23 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +19.4 |
| Justin Rochelin | 21 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | +17.2 |
| Maximo Milovich | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | +13.7 |
| Aidan Burke | 13 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | +7.5 |
| Ryder Elisaldez | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2.1 |
| Yaqub Mir | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Jasen Brooks | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.9 |
* = starter