Model Predictions
| Model | Toledo Rockets | Jacksonville State Gamecocks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.8% | 72.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.0% | 77.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Jacksonville State Gamecocks -2 (80-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sonny Wilson * | 35 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 8 | +3.3 |
| Isaiah Adams * | 32 | 4-13 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +8.6 |
| Javan Simmons * | 32 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 6 | +6.1 |
| Sam Lewis * | 30 | 6-10 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 13 | -5.9 |
| Jaylan Ouwinga * | 21 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | -1.9 |
| Seth Hubbard | 24 | 3-9 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 8 | +3.2 |
| Andre Lorentsson | 21 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +6.5 |
| Bryce Ford | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
Jacksonville State Gamecocks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaron Pierre Jr. * | 36 | 7-17 | 3-9 | 3-3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 20 | 9 | -3.3 |
| Marcellus Brigham Jr. * | 33 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 8 | -1.5 |
| Koree Cotton * | 26 | 5-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 13 | -9.9 |
| Mason Nicholson * | 22 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -3.4 |
| Jamar Franklin * | 21 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | -10.4 |
| Michael Houge | 29 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 10 | +1.8 |
| Iaroslav Niagu | 21 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +6.5 |
| Jao Ituka | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +5.4 |
* = starter