Model Predictions
| Model | James Madison Dukes | UC San Diego Tritons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.0% | 81.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.8% | 95.2% | +16.5 | ✓ (10.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.3% | 66.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.2% | 97.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.0% | 98.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC San Diego Tritons +6 (73-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
James Madison Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xavier Brown * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-6 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | +1.3 |
| Mark Freeman * | 30 | 3-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | -1 | +4.1 |
| AJ Smith * | 29 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Eddie Ricks III * | 27 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -9.5 |
| Elijah Hutchins-Everett * | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 9 | -7.9 |
| Bryce Lindsay | 29 | 6-11 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | +8.0 |
| Luke Anderson | 19 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| Noah Williams | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +0.7 |
| Justin Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.8 |
UC San Diego Tritons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aniwaniwa Tait-Jones * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 13-18 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 | 21 | +7.8 |
| Hayden Gray * | 33 | 6-9 | 3-3 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 13 | -0.3 |
| Tyler McGhie * | 33 | 4-12 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | +4.1 |
| Chris Howell * | 31 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | +4.4 |
| Nordin Kapic * | 28 | 5-8 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | -8.1 |
| Justin Rochelin | 22 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -6.9 |
| Aidan Burke | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +0.8 |
| Maximo Milovich | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4.3 |
* = starter