Model Predictions
| Model | West Virginia Mountaineers | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.4% | 73.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.7% | 75.3% | +6.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +9 (79-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Small * | 43 | 10-19 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 26 | 21 | -6.5 |
| Toby Okani * | 36 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 7 | -8.7 |
| Amani Hansberry * | 34 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 7-8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 13 | +1.2 |
| Tucker DeVries * | 32 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -4.7 |
| Sencire Harris * | 27 | 1-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -2 | +3.7 |
| Jonathan Powell | 29 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -10.8 |
| Eduardo Andre | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.6 |
| KJ Tenner | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -6.9 |
| Joseph Yesufu | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | +3.2 |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chucky Hepburn * | 38 | 8-12 | 2-5 | 14-17 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 32 | 29 | +16.1 |
| Terrence Edwards Jr. * | 36 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | +17.3 |
| Kasean Pryor * | 35 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 13 | +11.1 |
| J'Vonne Hadley * | 29 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | +14.1 |
| Noah Waterman * | 26 | 1-7 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -3.4 |
| Reyne Smith | 38 | 5-12 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +15.0 |
| James Scott | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3.3 |
| Khani Rooths | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | -2.0 |
* = starter