Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | St. John's Red Storm | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.2% | 98.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. John's Red Storm +25 (80-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Ames * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | -9.9 |
| Isaac McKneely * | 29 | 3-9 | 3-9 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | -20.6 |
| Elijah Saunders * | 25 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 7 | -16.0 |
| Blake Buchanan * | 25 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 12 | -3.6 |
| TJ Power * | 19 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -13.1 |
| Andrew Rohde | 22 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 3-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | -10.8 |
| Jacob Cofie | 21 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -14.0 |
| Taine Murray | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -0.7 |
| Anthony Robinson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -7.8 |
| Ishan Sharma | 6 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | +1.2 |
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kadary Richmond * | 30 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 9 | +18.8 |
| RJ Luis Jr. * | 29 | 7-14 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | +25.1 |
| Deivon Smith * | 28 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 22 | +18.9 |
| Zuby Ejiofor * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +29.8 |
| Aaron Scott * | 24 | 2-9 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +18.7 |
| Simeon Wilcher | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | +1.8 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo | 13 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +8.2 |
| Vincent Iwuchukwu | 11 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -3.5 |
| Rubén Prey | 9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -8.2 |
| J. Glover-Toscano | 8 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.7 |
* = starter