Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico State Aggies | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 78.9% | 21.1% | -7.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.3% | 14.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 85.6% | 14.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons +1 (61-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zawdie Jackson * | 32 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -6.3 |
| Peter Filipovity * | 32 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 10 | -6.0 |
| Jaden Harris * | 29 | 5-9 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 20 | -1.5 |
| Christian Cook * | 25 | 3-12 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 3 | - |
| Nate Tshimanga * | 7 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1.1 |
| Robert Carpenter | 21 | 4-11 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +3.9 |
| Gabe Pickens | 16 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.5 |
| Dionte Bostick | 15 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +2.7 |
| Emmanuel Tshimanga | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -2.1 |
| Carl Cherenfant | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.9 |
| Jae'Coby Osborne | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1.0 |
| Edward Nnamoko | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Derrick Butler * | 39 | 4-15 | 2-7 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 9 | +2.7 |
| Marcus Johnson * | 37 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 7-7 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 23 | 20 | +1.7 |
| Javontae Campbell * | 33 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 15 | +1.5 |
| Trey Thomas * | 26 | 0-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | +4.6 |
| W. Exacte * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
| Jamai Felt | 29 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | +1.5 |
| Braelon Green | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -0.6 |
| Preston Squire | 10 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +1.0 |
* = starter