Model Predictions
| Model | California Baptist Lancers | Fresno State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.2% | 38.8% | -2.5 | ✓ (2.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 73.0% | 27.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Fresno State Bulldogs -5 (81-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. * | 45 | 10-31 | 3-13 | 6-6 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 3 | - |
| S. Silverstein * | 43 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | - |
| AJ Braun * | 35 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 13 | - |
| K. Coleman * | 35 | 7-12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 17 | - |
| M. Williams * | 12 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| J. Johnson | 31 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 16 | - |
| A. Moussa | 26 | 2-8 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| B. Stevenson | 19 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| B. Henige | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Fresno State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Robinson * | 47 | 3-14 | 1-5 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| E. Price * | 42 | 7-13 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 15 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Z. Collins * | 42 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Weaver * | 37 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 4 | - |
| M. Seck * | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| A. Augillard | 34 | 9-22 | 3-11 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 11 | - |
| A. Crawford | 15 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| D. Douglas Jr. | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Tremble | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Amuneke | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter