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2024-11-29

Model Predictions

Model Saint Mary's Gaels Arizona State Sun Devils Spread Result
Elo 91.0% 9.0% -
Bradley-Terry 78.7% 21.3% -
Margin 68.7% 31.3% -4.3 (8.3 off)
Pythagorean 65.5% 34.5% -
Efficiency 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.7% 20.3% -
Log Adjusted 79.6% 20.4% -
Points Off/Def 59.3% 40.7% -

Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Saint Mary's Gaels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Barrett * 40 2-5 1-2 0-0 9 1 0 1 0 5 11 -9.8
J. Ross * 38 6-15 4-5 3-6 7 4 1 1 1 19 16 -12.9
M. Saxen * 33 4-10 0-0 2-4 9 0 2 1 1 10 11 -5.2
A. Marciulionis * 29 6-14 1-4 0-0 2 3 1 0 4 13 1 -8.2
P. Murauskas * 26 4-8 0-1 1-2 9 0 1 2 3 9 10 -9.2
A. Hardaway 14 1-3 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -4.6
M. Lewis 13 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 3 5 2 +0.3
H. Wessels 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 2 1 0 1 -3.4

Arizona State Sun Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Mason * 34 2-6 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 0 0 7 8 +10.2
BJ Freeman * 33 5-13 0-4 1-1 8 1 0 1 2 11 6 +16.3
J. Quaintance * 32 5-8 0-1 0-3 9 5 3 2 1 10 20 +11.7
B. Jihad * 29 3-7 0-2 2-3 5 0 2 1 4 8 5 +14.3
A. Miller * 27 4-7 1-3 2-3 0 1 2 0 2 11 5 +3.5
J. Sanon 29 8-16 3-4 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 19 7 +11.8
S. Phillips 10 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 +9.4
A. Ali 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -5.8

* = starter