Model Predictions
| Model | Saint Mary's Gaels | Arizona State Sun Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 91.0% | 9.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✗ (8.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.8% | 34.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.6% | 20.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.3% | 40.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arizona State Sun Devils +4 (68-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Saint Mary's Gaels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Barrett * | 40 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | -9.8 |
| J. Ross * | 38 | 6-15 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | -12.9 |
| M. Saxen * | 33 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 11 | -5.2 |
| A. Marciulionis * | 29 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 1 | -8.2 |
| P. Murauskas * | 26 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -9.2 |
| A. Hardaway | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -4.6 |
| M. Lewis | 13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 2 | +0.3 |
| H. Wessels | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3.4 |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Mason * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | +10.2 |
| BJ Freeman * | 33 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 6 | +16.3 |
| J. Quaintance * | 32 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 0-3 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 20 | +11.7 |
| B. Jihad * | 29 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | +14.3 |
| A. Miller * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +3.5 |
| J. Sanon | 29 | 8-16 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | +11.8 |
| S. Phillips | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +9.4 |
| A. Ali | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.8 |
* = starter