Model Predictions
| Model | Auburn Tigers | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 81.4% | 18.6% | -8.1 | ✓ (4.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.5% | 47.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 52.2% | 47.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.5% | 12.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.3% | 32.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -13 (72-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johni Broome * | 34 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 3-4 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 30 | +14.7 |
| Denver Jones * | 30 | 2-9 | 2-5 | 4-6 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | +5.7 |
| Chad Baker-Mazara * | 28 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +18.2 |
| Miles Kelly * | 21 | 5-10 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 7 | +13.3 |
| Dylan Cardwell * | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -8.3 |
| Chaney Johnson | 33 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 13 | +12.2 |
| Tahaad Pettiford | 20 | 4-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -3.4 |
| Chris Moore | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.7 |
| JP Pegues | 12 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +8.5 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Davis * | 36 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -7.2 |
| Seth Trimble * | 35 | 7-13 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 4 | -7.6 |
| Elliot Cadeau * | 30 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 3 | -10.9 |
| Jae'Lyn Withers * | 20 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7-8 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | -4.5 |
| Jalen Washington * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -2 | -5.5 |
| V. Lubin | 23 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 13 | - |
| Drake Powell | 21 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | +1.4 |
| Ian Jackson | 17 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | +4.6 |
| Cade Tyson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter