Model Predictions
| Model | Iowa State Cyclones | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 88.0% | 12.0% | -11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 53.9% | 46.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.6% | 9.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.8% | 9.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 71.2% | 28.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dayton Flyers -5 (84-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Iowa State Cyclones
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keshon Gilbert * | 36 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 12-14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 20 | +8.2 |
| Joshua Jefferson * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | +2.9 |
| Milan Momcilovic * | 24 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 2 | -7.4 |
| Dishon Jackson * | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | -0.6 |
| Tamin Lipsey * | 16 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +6.1 |
| Curtis Jones | 31 | 6-13 | 3-6 | 4-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 9 | +9.4 |
| Brandton Chatfield | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -0.6 |
| Nate Heise | 15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +10.3 |
| Nojus Indrusaitis | 12 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +1.9 |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malachi Smith * | 31 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 22 | -4.9 |
| Nate Santos * | 31 | 4-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Enoch Cheeks * | 28 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 13 | +1.9 |
| Javon Bennett * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -8.1 |
| Zed Key * | 25 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | -7.1 |
| Posh Alexander | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3.2 |
| Amael L'Etang | 12 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -1.2 |
| Hamad Mousa | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | +4.8 |
| Isaac Jack | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.1 |
| Jaiun Simon | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +1.2 |
* = starter