Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Longhorns | Butler Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 99.7% | 0.3% | -32.9 | ✓ (2.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 94.5% | 5.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Butler Bulldogs -35 (59-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Longhorns
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justice Carlton | 24 | 12-15 | 0-1 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 20 | -1.4 |
| Rori Harmon | 24 | 6-13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 16 | -8.8 |
| Madison Booker | 24 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -9.2 |
| Laila Phelia | 20 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -0.5 |
| Shay Holle | 18 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | -8.7 |
| Jordan Lee | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -0.1 |
| Bryanna Preston | 16 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | -0.7 |
| Ndjakalenga Mwenentanda | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| Kyla Oldacre | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -1.1 |
| Taylor Jones | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7 | -8.3 |
| Aaliyah Moore | 11 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 7 | -8.4 |
| Sarah Graves | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.0 |
| Jordana Codio | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.1 |
Butler Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Strande | 31 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +9.7 |
| Kilyn McGuff | 29 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +10.6 |
| Lily Carmody | 24 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 3 | +1.3 |
| Ari Wiggins | 23 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 1 | +4.3 |
| Lily Zeinstra | 22 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Sydney Jaynes | 22 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.0 |
| Riley Makalusky | 20 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | +9.0 |
| Lilly Stoddard | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +1.0 |
| Jocelyn Land | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +0.1 |
| Cristen Carter | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +8.7 |
| Karsyn Norman | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +6.3 |
* = starter