Model Predictions
| Model | Wagner Seahawks | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.6% | 84.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.2% | 98.8% | +24.4 | ✓ (14.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets +39 (73-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elle Johansson | 31 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | -25.1 |
| Angelie Ricard | 30 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -10.6 |
| Keana Foz | 23 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -1 | -4.7 |
| Shamique Cummings | 21 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -13.7 |
| KC Carter | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -15.1 |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -2 | -12.8 |
| Julia Fabozzi | 19 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -24.7 |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 19 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 4 | -9.9 |
| Klea Kaci | 18 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -18.6 |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lina Falk | 34 | 6-13 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 13 | +27.0 |
| Jaydia Martin | 32 | 5-11 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 8 | +25.8 |
| Sofia Alonso | 32 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 10 | +27.0 |
| Katie Peneueta | 29 | 7-10 | 5-7 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | +20.9 |
| Madison Butcher | 21 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 3 | +11.8 |
| Rubi Gray | 15 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | +9.4 |
| Jemma Amoore | 11 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -1.8 |
| Sophia Lee | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -1.3 |
| Brooklyn Taylor | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8 | +1.9 |
| Noemi Arvai | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -5.0 |
| Fatoumata Jaiteh | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.7 |
* = starter