Model Predictions
| Model | Villanova Wildcats | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.7% | 82.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.3 | ✓ (0.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +17 (53-36). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Webber | 32 | 4-13 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -0.2 |
| Jasmine Bascoe | 29 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3 | +2.5 |
| Bronagh Power-Cassidy | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -5.6 |
| Lara Edmanson | 25 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | -1.0 |
| Maddie Burke | 23 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -0.9 |
| Denae Carter | 21 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | -5.0 |
| Jaliyah Green | 17 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -2.4 |
| Kaitlyn Orihel | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3.0 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Rachel Wirts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Donarski | 30 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 9 | +10.0 |
| A. Ustby | 28 | 6-8 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 18 | +3.0 |
| I. Nivar | 27 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -3.1 |
| L. Grant | 23 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +2.3 |
| B. Thomas | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4.0 |
| R. Kelly | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | +4.7 |
| Trayanna Crisp | 18 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | +4.0 |
| C. Toomey | 14 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +7.8 |
| G. Townsend | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -0.7 |
| L. Hull | 11 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -0.0 |
* = starter