Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 68.9% | 31.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.1% | 47.9% | -0.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.7% | 34.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.9% | 34.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -12 (47-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CJ Hines | 31 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | +6.6 |
| TJ Madlock | 27 | 7-13 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Amarr Knox | 25 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | -0.1 |
| Micah Octave | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | +2.1 |
| Ubong Okon | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | +18.8 |
| Jasteven Walker | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.8 |
| D'Ante Bass | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.4 |
| Micah Simpson | 15 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +10.2 |
| Tyler Mack | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +6.2 |
| Shawn Fulcher | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.5 |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kintavious Dozier | 34 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 4 | -0.4 |
| Mikale Stevenson | 33 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | -13.4 |
| P.J. Eason | 30 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Antwan Burnett | 28 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -6.0 |
| James Flippin | 26 | 7-13 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 7 | +2.0 |
| Louis Hutchinson | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 2 | -6.1 |
| PJ Edwards | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -10.5 |
| Ernest Ross | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -13.4 |
* = starter