Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | UNLV Rebels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.5% | 18.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.2% | 40.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNLV Rebels -8 (53-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 38 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 4-6 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 15 | +12.4 |
| Jalen Lake | 31 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 2 | +6.5 |
| Kyan. Evans | 27 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +18.2 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 25 | 4-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 5 | +5.6 |
| Ethan Morton | 22 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +1.7 |
| Bowen Born | 18 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -2.4 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +9.8 |
| Nikola Djapa | 12 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4.2 |
| Keshawn Williams | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.8 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +3.5 |
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Hill | 39 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | +0.1 |
| Julian Rishwain | 34 | 2-8 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -2.1 |
| Jailen Bedford | 33 | 7-16 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | -2.3 |
| Jaden Henley | 32 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -4.1 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 29 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 10 | +1.7 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 22 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -12.1 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -16.1 |
* = starter