Model Predictions
| Model | Colorado State Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.4% | 71.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.1% | 67.9% | +4.1 | ✓ (17.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.7% | 53.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 43.1% | 56.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +22 (87-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 37 | 3-15 | 1-8 | 2-2 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | -14.5 |
| Jalen Lake | 33 | 1-8 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -5 | -20.6 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 28 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | -22.0 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 27 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 12 | -26.0 |
| Kyan. Evans | 25 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -7.5 |
| Bowen Born | 14 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -12.2 |
| Ethan Morton | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -5.1 |
| Keshawn Williams | 11 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | -19.7 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 11 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2.7 |
| Nikola Djapa | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 38 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 10-13 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 30 | +24.7 |
| Donovan Dent | 37 | 8-18 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 12 | +28.3 |
| Tru Washington | 32 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 15 | +24.7 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 28 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | +12.0 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 22 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | +3.2 |
| C.J. Noland | 22 | 7-7 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +16.3 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 18 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +24.4 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +5.1 |
| Kayde Dotson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +2.0 |
* = starter