Model Predictions
| Model | UNLV Rebels | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.2% | 89.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 14.3% | 85.7% | +9.8 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.9% | 85.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams +22 (84-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNLV Rebels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dedan Thomas Jr. | 37 | 8-13 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 15 | -13.4 |
| Jailen Bedford | 28 | 2-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -10.4 |
| Jaden Henley | 28 | 7-13 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 8 | -8.0 |
| Julian Rishwain | 24 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -1 | -16.5 |
| Jalen Hill | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | -13.5 |
| Brooklyn Hicks | 21 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -13.6 |
| Pape N'Diaye | 20 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -9.4 |
| Jeremiah Cherry | 20 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -9.3 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 35 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 4-6 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 22 | 27 | +26.4 |
| Kyan. Evans | 28 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | +13.9 |
| Jalen Lake | 27 | 5-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 10 | +22.2 |
| Ethan Morton | 26 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | +21.6 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 25 | 8-9 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 17 | +15.8 |
| Keshawn Williams | 20 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -2.5 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | -5.0 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | +9.2 |
| Bowen Born | 12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +8.4 |
* = starter