Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Colorado State Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.7% | 56.3% | +1.4 | ✗ (9.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.9% | 49.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Colorado State Rams -8 (68-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 36 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 3 | +14.8 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 31 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +14.8 |
| Mustapha Amzil | 24 | 5-10 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | +8.6 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 24 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 15 | +7.1 |
| C.J. Noland | 20 | 5-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 5 | +12.0 |
| Tru Washington | 20 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -2 | -3.0 |
| Braden Appelhans | 16 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | +9.5 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 16 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +8.6 |
| Kayde Dotson | 4 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +2.1 |
Colorado State Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nique Clifford | 38 | 7-17 | 0-5 | 3-3 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | -9.3 |
| Kyan. Evans | 32 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 9 | -11.9 |
| Jalen Lake | 29 | 4-10 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 5 | -7.6 |
| Jaylen Crocker-Johnson | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -5.2 |
| Kyle Jorgensen | 22 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -6.1 |
| Ethan Morton | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | -10.2 |
| Rashaan Mbemba | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | -5.4 |
| Keshawn Williams | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -5.8 |
| Bowen Born | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -2.3 |
* = starter