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2025-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Colorado State Rams Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 56.8% 43.2% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 41.0% 59.0% - โœ—
Margin 36.2% 63.8% +3.1 โœ— (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 47.1% 52.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 43.3% 56.7% - โœ—

Actual: Boise State Broncos -10 (73-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nique Clifford 38 13-18 4-7 6-6 4 3 2 0 2 36 25 +22.7
Kyan. Evans 35 5-9 2-4 2-2 2 2 1 0 2 14 8 +25.7
Jalen Lake 32 4-10 2-4 1-1 2 1 1 0 0 11 5 +12.2
Ethan Morton 28 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 0 6 +10.4
Jaylen Crocker-Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 5-6 3 2 1 0 2 5 9 +0.2
Rashaan Mbemba 20 3-3 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 8 6 -1.9
Bowen Born 11 1-3 0-1 1-1 2 0 0 0 2 3 0 -16.3
Nikola Djapa 8 1-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 4 5 +7.9
Keshawn Williams 5 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -5.7
Kyle Jorgensen 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 +3.9

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Meadow 38 6-13 3-6 7-7 6 1 1 0 1 22 16 -11.4
Tyson Degenhart 38 4-6 1-3 6-7 9 1 0 0 1 15 18 -9.8
Alvaro Cardenas 38 6-16 2-9 4-4 6 8 0 0 2 18 14 -4.3
RJ Keene 21 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 4 +3.6
Pearson Carmichael 20 3-8 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 7 -1 -4.8
O'Mar Stanley 16 2-5 0-2 1-3 0 0 0 1 1 5 0 -5.2
Javan Buchanan 15 0-3 0-2 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -3.0
Emmanuel Ugbo 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 3 +2.9
Julian Bowie 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -6.7
Chris Lockett 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.1

* = starter