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2025-02-26

Model Predictions

Model Utah State Aggies Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 38.4% 61.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 49.2% 50.8% - โœ“
Margin 36.9% 63.1% +2.9 โœ“ (14.1 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 46.8% 53.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 41.6% 58.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 41.7% 58.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“

Actual: Boise State Broncos +17 (82-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Utah State Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ian Martinez 32 3-9 1-4 3-3 1 0 0 0 2 10 0 -4.7
Dexter Akanno 31 2-6 1-4 2-3 4 0 0 0 0 7 5 -16.8
Deyton Albury 30 3-7 0-0 5-8 0 3 0 0 2 11 5 -1.9
Mason Falslev 30 7-15 4-7 1-2 3 3 1 0 4 19 7 -18.2
Drake Allen 21 1-5 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 2 1 -7.1
Aubin Gateretse 19 2-3 0-0 0-0 7 1 1 0 2 4 8 +5.3
Tucker Anderson 16 2-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 6 5 -16.7
Karson Templin 12 1-1 0-0 1-3 2 0 0 0 0 3 4 -9.0
Isaac Johnson 5 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +0.7
Isaac Davis 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.7
Jordy Barnes 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.1

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alvaro Cardenas 38 3-9 3-8 7-8 6 7 1 0 1 16 20 +18.2
Tyson Degenhart 36 7-13 2-3 5-6 2 2 1 0 0 21 13 +18.0
Andrew Meadow 34 5-9 3-5 4-5 5 0 0 0 3 17 10 +17.3
Pearson Carmichael 25 4-7 1-3 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 9 9 +16.2
Javan Buchanan 20 1-6 0-1 2-2 3 0 2 1 0 4 4 +10.1
RJ Keene 18 0-1 0-1 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 1 5 +3.8
O'Mar Stanley 15 5-7 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 10 7 +2.3
Emmanuel Ugbo 12 2-4 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 4 3 +2.2
Julian Bowie 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.9

* = starter