Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.4% | 62.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.8% | 43.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.1% | 57.9% | +1.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.1% | 52.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +8 (86-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Donovan Dent | 37 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 9-11 | 3 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 16 | +5.1 |
| Nelly Junior Joseph | 36 | 8-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 13 | +7.5 |
| Filip Borovicanin | 28 | 7-9 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | +14.1 |
| Jovan Milicevic | 28 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +10.7 |
| Tru Washington | 26 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 10 | +1.7 |
| C.J. Noland | 22 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | -12.3 |
| Ibrahima Sacko | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6.7 |
| Braden Appelhans | 8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -7.1 |
| Atiki Ally Atiki | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -5.2 |
| Kayde Dotson | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.3 |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alvaro Cardenas | 39 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 19 | +8.3 |
| Tyson Degenhart | 35 | 9-16 | 1-3 | 13-15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 23 | -2.1 |
| Pearson Carmichael | 31 | 5-11 | 4-8 | 7-9 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 14 | +0.1 |
| Andrew Meadow | 28 | 2-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -10.0 |
| RJ Keene | 23 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 14 | -3.3 |
| Javan Buchanan | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +12.9 |
| O'Mar Stanley | 16 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 9 | +5.7 |
| Emmanuel Ugbo | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +2.6 |
| Julian Bowie | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -2.1 |
* = starter