Model Predictions
| Model | Furman Paladins | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.8% | 86.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.6% | 73.4% | +5.6 | ✗ (16.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 24.5% | 75.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 23.7% | 76.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -11 (74-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Furman Paladins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Ryan | 38 | 8-16 | 5-9 | 3-4 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 21 | +16.2 |
| Niveya Henley | 33 | 5-11 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 12 | +18.7 |
| Tate Lash | 31 | 6-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 11 | +10.7 |
| Kate Johnson | 31 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 12 | +16.9 |
| Raina McGowens | 27 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 8 | +8.6 |
| Bella LaChance | 20 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| Clare Coyle | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 8 | -5.7 |
| Chantelle Stuart | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -6.9 |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crystal Henderson | 32 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -5.0 |
| Mya Williams | 32 | 5-11 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -3.0 |
| Mikyla Tolivert | 30 | 4-9 | 2-5 | 9-9 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 13 | -15.9 |
| Patience Williams | 28 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -27.9 |
| Kaleigh Addie | 26 | 4-14 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 1 | -5.4 |
| Mahogany Matthews | 19 | 4-9 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Eden Johnson | 16 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | +4.3 |
| Monna Julkunen | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3.4 |
| Eghosa Obasuyi | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.7 |
| Cheyenne Holloman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
* = starter