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2025-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Charleston Southern Buccaneers South Carolina Upstate Spartans Spread Result
Elo 42.6% 57.4% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 67.3% 32.7% - ✓
Margin 76.7% 23.3% -6.6 ✓ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 76.7% 23.3% - ✓
Efficiency 80.6% 19.4% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 86.8% 13.2% - ✓
Log Adjusted 87.7% 12.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 62.1% 37.9% - ✓

Actual: South Carolina Upstate Spartans -10 (49-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Alaina Nettles 36 1-1 0-0 0-0 6 5 2 0 2 2 12 +8.1
Madison Adamson 32 3-10 1-6 0-0 10 3 0 0 0 7 10 +8.0
Catherine Alben 31 4-11 2-7 4-4 4 3 1 0 6 14 5 +3.5
Taylor Caldwell 24 2-6 2-5 0-0 4 1 1 0 2 6 4 -7.9
K. Nichols 23 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 2 5 6 -2.4
Shimei Muhammad 22 3-6 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 0 +5.3
Caelan Ellis 15 3-9 2-7 1-2 0 0 0 0 2 9 -2 +2.7
Saniya Jones 13 4-5 0-0 2-3 6 0 0 1 3 10 9 +6.0
Maya Robinson 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.1

South Carolina Upstate Spartans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Cassie Gallagher 34 2-7 0-3 0-0 1 2 1 0 1 4 0 -1.4
Jeni Levine 31 4-8 1-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 9 5 -16.0
Rebekah Gordon 29 4-14 0-1 3-4 5 2 0 0 2 11 2 -22.8
Gwen Jenkins 27 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 3 1 1 2 0 0 -3.7
AC Markham 26 5-7 3-4 1-1 1 1 1 0 1 14 9 +1.4
Lele Tanuvasa 15 1-5 0-1 1-3 2 0 2 0 2 3 0 +7.0
Vera Söderblom 14 2-4 0-0 2-2 3 2 0 0 2 6 5 +2.7
Ava Miller 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 0 0 1 1 2 5 -2.7
Gracie Barnes 9 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 0 -1 -6.4
Zora Fray-Chinn 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -2.2

* = starter