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2025-01-29

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Radford Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 11.0% 89.0% - โœ“
Margin 11.9% 88.1% +11.0 โœ“ (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Efficiency 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 14.4% 85.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 8.0% 92.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 26.0% 74.0% - โœ“

Actual: Radford Highlanders +16 (63-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Simmons 28 2-5 0-3 3-4 3 3 1 0 0 7 9 +3.7
A. Wilson 27 6-10 0-0 2-3 3 2 0 0 3 14 6 +3.5
Taylor Wilkins 26 2-10 2-9 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 6 -2 +0.5
D. McCaughan 26 3-10 3-8 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 9 0 +0.6
S. Bailey 24 1-3 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 3 5 +3.1
Deb Orianegbena 21 0-2 0-0 0-0 7 0 3 0 1 0 7 -1.6
A. Swift 15 1-7 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 -2 +2.8
Jazlyn Ware 14 1-1 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 1 3 2 2 +4.8
Sydney Burris 11 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 +0.0
Trinty Barnes 8 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 4 1 +0.1

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Carlson 31 7-14 4-9 1-1 4 1 0 1 1 19 10 -7.5
A. Traylor-Walker 31 4-9 2-5 2-4 3 5 3 0 1 12 13 -1.9
T. Napper 30 2-2 1-1 1-2 9 4 1 0 1 6 17 -0.6
M. Firebaugh 30 2-11 1-7 0-0 5 4 1 0 1 5 3 -3.6
J. Williams 27 3-8 2-4 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 8 4 -5.4
K. Dandridge 23 1-3 0-0 3-3 2 0 2 0 1 5 5 +1.9
A. Shipp-Davis 14 3-5 0-2 0-0 3 0 0 0 5 6 -1 -2.7
A. Stromberg 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 +0.2
K. Brown 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 +3.9
A. Nice 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -0.0
A. Sawi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.0
A. Jackson 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.0

* = starter