Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 20.2% | 79.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.9% | 66.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (7.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.8% | 58.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.3% | 67.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +13 (103-90). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toyaz Solomon | 35 | 9-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 20 | 14 | -4.1 |
| Greg Gantt Jr. | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 7 | -5.5 |
| Jordan Marsh | 33 | 11-21 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 15 | +0.7 |
| Kameron Taylor | 28 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -1.2 |
| Fletcher Abee | 28 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -4.8 |
| Josh Banks | 24 | 6-11 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | -7.4 |
| Connor Dubsky | 11 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Jemal Davis | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.6 |
| Julian Clarke | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K.J. Doucet | 32 | 8-14 | 3-6 | 11-11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 30 | 25 | +16.4 |
| Kelton Talford | 32 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +10.0 |
| Nick Johnson | 31 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 14 | -1.2 |
| Bryce Baker | 27 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 14 | -0.3 |
| Kasen Harrison | 22 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +22.8 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 16 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -10.8 |
| Tommy Kamarad | 13 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Paul Jones III | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.6 |
| Logan Duncomb | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -2.3 |
| Ryan Jolly | 7 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +2.5 |
| Yoro Diallo | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +0.0 |
* = starter