Model Predictions
| Model | Winthrop Eagles | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.2% | 20.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.0% | 41.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.1% | 51.9% | +0.4 | ✗ (26.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.1% | 50.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 49.5% | 50.5% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers -26 (59-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Harrison | 27 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 4 | +2.4 |
| K.J. Doucet | 26 | 3-11 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | +3.5 |
| Bryce Baker | 23 | 8-11 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 17 | +20.7 |
| Nick Johnson | 23 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | +21.5 |
| Kelton Talford | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | +5.4 |
| Tommy Kamarad | 22 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -1.4 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 13 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | +25.0 |
| Logan Duncomb | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 9 | +5.3 |
| Paul Jones III | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +23.8 |
| Ryan Jolly | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -4.6 |
| Tai Hamilton | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +12.7 |
| Noah Van Bibber | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.0 |
| Yoro Diallo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.1 |
| Henry Harrison | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
| Cam Christy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.0 |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Christmas | 29 | 3-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -23.9 |
| Kyrell Luc | 28 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 6 | -2.9 |
| Jaylen Benard | 27 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -13.3 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 25 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -29.9 |
| Elijah Tucker | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 5 | -2.4 |
| Emanuel Richards | 18 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -9.9 |
| Trey Hicks | 16 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7.8 |
| Colby Garland | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 3 | -12.7 |
| Johan Nziemi | 15 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 8 | -1.1 |
| Leo Nordberg | 7 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -7.8 |
| Stark Jones | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.2 |
* = starter