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2025-02-20

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Radford Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 40.9% 59.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.3% 57.7% - โœ“
Margin 27.5% 72.5% +5.3 โœ“ (18.7 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 35.6% 64.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.4% 64.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 38.0% 62.0% - โœ“

Actual: Radford Highlanders +24 (77-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Fletcher Abee 27 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -24.2
Josh Banks 26 3-9 1-6 1-1 4 1 0 0 1 8 3 -23.2
Greg Gantt Jr. 26 1-2 0-0 3-4 6 3 1 1 2 5 12 -25.8
Toyaz Solomon 26 3-11 0-0 4-5 4 1 1 2 3 10 4 -16.5
Kameron Taylor 22 3-6 0-2 4-4 1 1 2 0 1 10 7 -13.4
Jordan Marsh 18 3-11 2-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 8 -2 -16.7
Jemal Davis 16 0-1 0-1 3-4 4 1 0 0 2 3 5 -12.4
Julian Clarke 13 0-1 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 +2.7
Connor Dubsky 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.6
Javoy Thompson 8 2-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 2 0 0 5 6 +1.6
Sage Tolentino 8 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 +1.4

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Maclin 32 7-13 1-4 5-6 5 6 2 0 1 20 19 +26.6
Jarvis Moss 30 4-9 2-5 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 12 6 +26.0
Josiah Harris 26 5-8 0-0 2-4 14 0 0 0 1 12 17 +23.5
David Early 24 2-7 1-4 1-3 1 3 0 0 0 6 3 +17.2
Ibu Yamazaki 22 2-4 1-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 5 6 +5.1
Truth Harris 22 4-5 2-3 5-7 1 0 2 0 1 15 12 +2.1
Isaiah Gaines 20 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 2 4 +5.1
Zion Walker 8 1-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 3 0 +8.9
Jonas Sirtautas 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 3 +12.5
TJ NeSmith 4 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -0.1
Tony Felder 2 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -0.1
Brennan Chatman 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
Xavier Foster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0

* = starter