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2025-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Radford Highlanders Longwood Lancers Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 50.1% 49.9% - โœ“
Margin 46.0% 54.0% +0.9 โœ— (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.6% 52.4% - โœ—
Efficiency 46.5% 53.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 53.7% 46.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 53.6% 46.4% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.0% 53.0% - โœ—

Actual: Longwood Lancers -2 (69-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Brandon Maclin 32 5-14 2-8 3-5 6 3 0 0 1 15 9 +12.1
Josiah Harris 31 5-8 0-0 1-2 7 1 1 2 4 11 10 +6.4
Truth Harris 31 4-7 1-3 3-5 0 3 1 0 1 12 8 +3.1
Jarvis Moss 20 2-5 1-3 1-2 1 2 0 0 0 6 4 +3.0
Isaiah Gaines 20 1-3 0-0 2-2 7 0 1 1 3 4 7 +1.5
TJ NeSmith 16 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 0 3 4 -4.4
David Early 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 3 0 0 1 2 3 -6.3
Chace Davis 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 6 6 -3.2
Ibu Yamazaki 10 4-4 2-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 10 6 -2.6
Zion Walker 10 1-2 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 -2.5
Jonas Sirtautas 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -2.0

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colby Garland 35 6-11 1-1 10-10 3 2 1 0 3 23 15 +1.2
Kyrell Luc 35 4-11 0-2 4-5 4 3 3 0 3 12 8 -5.9
Elijah Tucker 27 3-5 0-0 1-5 7 1 1 0 2 7 9 -6.2
Angelo Brizzi 27 4-5 2-2 3-5 2 1 1 0 2 13 10 -0.3
Michael Christmas 23 2-5 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 +12.9
Emanuel Richards 20 0-1 0-1 0-2 6 0 0 0 0 0 5 -8.6
Jaylen Benard 19 2-3 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 4 -1.1
Trey Hicks 14 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 2 -1 +5.6

* = starter