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2025-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Longwood Lancers Radford Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 35.9% 64.1% - โœ—
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 โœ— (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 46.4% 53.6% - โœ—
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.5% 60.5% - โœ—

Actual: Radford Highlanders -3 (74-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Longwood Lancers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Colby Garland 35 2-6 1-2 6-8 2 2 1 0 3 11 7 +8.6
Angelo Brizzi 34 5-7 3-4 4-4 7 1 4 0 1 17 21 +3.4
Michael Christmas 34 5-10 5-9 2-2 4 3 1 0 1 17 14 +5.7
Kyrell Luc 28 0-4 0-0 4-4 0 2 1 0 1 4 2 +6.3
Elijah Tucker 23 4-9 0-0 2-3 4 0 0 0 1 10 4 +16.9
Johan Nziemi 21 3-5 0-0 4-5 1 0 2 0 0 10 8 -13.2
Jaylen Benard 19 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 5 4 -0.3
Trey Hicks 6 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -3.8

Radford Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josiah Harris 29 5-7 0-0 0-1 13 1 0 1 2 10 16 +1.0
Jarvis Moss 28 4-9 3-7 2-2 1 0 2 0 1 13 6 -3.8
Truth Harris 28 3-6 2-4 6-8 4 1 0 0 1 14 12 +0.3
Brandon Maclin 27 1-5 0-3 3-4 3 3 0 0 4 5 2 -13.8
Isaiah Gaines 23 2-5 0-2 1-1 8 2 0 1 1 5 10 -7.8
Ibu Yamazaki 23 5-7 0-2 4-4 2 2 1 0 1 14 11 -0.8
David Early 13 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 4 3 +4.6
Chace Davis 12 3-5 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 7 4 -0.2
TJ NeSmith 9 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 -2 +0.1
Tony Felder 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8
Jonas Sirtautas 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 1 -2.2
Zion Walker 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 +0.1

* = starter