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2025-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles UNC Asheville Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 66.4% 33.6% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 52.4% 47.6% - โœ—
Margin 51.3% 48.7% -0.3 โœ— (9.3 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 61.7% 38.3% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 62.0% 38.0% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 51.1% 48.9% - โœ—

Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +9 (93-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nick Johnson 33 4-9 1-4 2-6 2 1 1 0 3 11 3 +5.9
Kelton Talford 32 7-10 0-0 7-9 8 3 2 1 2 21 23 +0.0
Bryce Baker 31 8-12 7-10 1-1 3 0 1 0 0 24 16 -12.0
Kasen Harrison 27 2-4 0-0 0-1 0 4 0 0 2 4 2 -15.3
Isaiah Wilson 19 1-4 1-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 3 0 -8.4
Yoro Diallo 16 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 4 0 3 4 7 +7.2
K.J. Doucet 13 4-8 0-3 4-5 2 1 0 0 5 12 2 -5.9
Paul Jones III 12 0-4 0-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -2.5
Tai Hamilton 7 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 2 4 -8.0
Ryan Jolly 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 1 -7.0
Tommy Kamarad 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -3.0
Logan Duncomb 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -3.8

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Marsh 37 9-20 1-4 13-13 7 8 2 1 2 32 28 +12.7
Toyaz Solomon 36 8-14 0-0 0-0 9 3 3 3 1 16 19 +15.1
Fletcher Abee 35 4-7 4-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 12 9 +13.9
Josh Banks 27 3-8 0-3 6-8 0 3 1 0 1 12 7 +9.7
Greg Gantt Jr. 27 3-4 0-0 0-0 6 4 2 0 2 6 12 +21.1
Kameron Taylor 18 4-8 1-1 1-2 4 0 0 1 1 10 6 +11.1
Jemal Davis 16 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 3 5 2 -11.8
Connor Dubsky 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -9.6
Julian Clarke 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.0

* = starter