Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | Winthrop Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.6% | 88.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.3% | 71.7% | +5.1 | ✓ (13.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Winthrop Eagles +19 (95-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Christmas | 32 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 1 | -11.8 |
| Colby Garland | 32 | 6-14 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 9 | -17.2 |
| Kyrell Luc | 30 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 15 | -3.5 |
| Angelo Brizzi | 28 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | -10.3 |
| Johan Nziemi | 21 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | -6.2 |
| Jaylen Benard | 16 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | -5.5 |
| KJ McClurg | 13 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | -3.6 |
| Trey Hicks | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -12.1 |
| Elijah Tucker | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| DJ Jefferson | 7 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -6.6 |
Winthrop Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Harrison | 32 | 6-12 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 14 | +18.2 |
| Kelton Talford | 30 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 16 | +11.8 |
| Paul Jones III | 27 | 9-14 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 13 | +14.7 |
| Nick Johnson | 26 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 6-8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 13 | +19.5 |
| K.J. Doucet | 21 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | +3.0 |
| Bryce Baker | 18 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | +6.0 |
| Ryan Jolly | 17 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +20.0 |
| Isaiah Wilson | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -7.6 |
| Yoro Diallo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.5 |
| Logan Duncomb | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +1.8 |
| Tai Hamilton | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.1 |
* = starter