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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Winthrop Eagles Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 87.8% 12.2% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 64.9% 35.1% - โœ—
Margin 64.0% 36.0% -3.2 โœ— (9.2 off)
Pythagorean 60.3% 39.7% - โœ—
Efficiency 60.3% 39.7% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 74.4% 25.6% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 74.5% 25.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - โœ—

Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs +6 (89-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Winthrop Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kelton Talford 34 9-10 0-0 3-10 10 1 1 1 3 21 21 -10.7
Paul Jones III 33 3-8 1-5 2-3 2 0 0 2 0 9 5 -13.3
Nick Johnson 32 5-8 1-4 6-7 2 2 1 0 1 17 13 -15.9
Kasen Harrison 31 5-8 0-1 3-6 2 3 1 1 0 13 12 +8.0
K.J. Doucet 27 5-13 1-4 5-10 6 2 2 1 2 16 12 -6.2
Ryan Jolly 12 1-4 1-2 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 3 +0.5
Isaiah Wilson 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -6.2
Yoro Diallo 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +8.6
Bryce Baker 6 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -14.6
Tai Hamilton 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 1 0 1 +1.0
Logan Duncomb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.0

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darryl Simmons Ii 34 6-14 5-8 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 17 7 +9.3
Pharell Boyogueno 31 3-6 3-5 4-4 3 0 0 1 3 13 8 +13.4
Jamaine Mann 30 4-9 1-1 5-6 7 3 1 0 6 14 10 +14.0
A. Selden 29 6-12 0-3 8-10 3 4 0 0 2 20 13 +10.3
I. Richards 24 2-5 1-1 2-3 5 1 0 1 2 7 7 +12.4
A. Badmus 16 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 0 6 9 +4.2
S. Lazar 14 2-4 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 4 4 +1.0
B. Mykalcio 11 2-2 0-0 2-2 5 0 0 0 1 6 8 -0.8
Colin Hawkins 6 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -2 -5.8
Jacob Hudson 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 2 1 -3.6

* = starter