Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Duquesne Dukes | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 23.5% | 76.5% | +6.5 | ✗ (15.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.0% | 59.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 27.7% | 72.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.9% | 73.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.0% | 73.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.0% | 66.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duquesne Dukes -9 (71-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicole Stephens | 33 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 15 | -6.7 |
| Ivy Wolf | 30 | 4-10 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 11 | +3.8 |
| Rikki Harris | 30 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 2-5 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | +0.2 |
| Arianna Smith | 26 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | +4.8 |
| Shannon Wheeler | 20 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | +14.1 |
| Olivia Leung | 18 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 3-7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | +5.6 |
| Shantavia Dawkins | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +6.8 |
| Molly O'Riordan | 11 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -2.2 |
| Nayo Lear | 11 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 10 | +10.2 |
| Jayda Johnson | 7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -6.7 |
| Eve Fiala | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | +5.0 |
Duquesne Dukes
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan McConnell | 38 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 4-9 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 15 | -11.0 |
| Jerni Kiaku | 32 | 7-15 | 1-4 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | +2.2 |
| Kiandra Browne | 25 | 1-7 | 1-7 | 3-8 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | +7.9 |
| Nadia Moore | 21 | 2-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +5.1 |
| Andjela Matic | 17 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +7.7 |
| Gabby Hutcherson | 16 | 4-13 | 3-8 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | -16.3 |
| Reina Green | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -3.6 |
| Mackenzie Blackford | 14 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -8.4 |
| Faith Walker | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -12.7 |
| Raymi Coueta | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
| Fatou Sane | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.3 |
| Kellie McConnell | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.0 |
* = starter