Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.9% | 44.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 47.9% | 52.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 54.6% | 45.4% | -1.0 | ✗ (4.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 66.4% | 33.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 66.8% | 33.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Fordham Rams +3 (58-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Wolf | 38 | 5-12 | 5-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -6.8 |
| N. Stephens | 35 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | -7.0 |
| A. Smith | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 11 | -7.1 |
| R. Harris | 25 | 2-8 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -6.9 |
| S. Wheeler | 23 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | -0.9 |
| O. Leung | 14 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | -0.3 |
| J. Johnson | 12 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | -6.7 |
| S. Dawkins | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -0.3 |
| N. Lear | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -0.4 |
| M. O'Riordan | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -0.3 |
| E. Fiala | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.0 |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Donaldson | 37 | 6-14 | 2-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 19 | 6 | +8.1 |
| I. Murua Txintxurreta | 34 | 6-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Taya Davis | 29 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 7 | +7.3 |
| Emma Wilson-Saltos | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | +7.1 |
| Chae Harris | 17 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | +7.1 |
| Kaila Berry | 15 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | +0.6 |
| Karissa Antoine | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.5 |
| Rose Nelson | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +0.6 |
| Anastasija Veljovic | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.5 |
| Amiyah Ferguson | 8 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | +0.6 |
| Camila De Pool | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | +0.2 |
| M. Giles-Jones | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter