Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | St. Bonaventure Bonnies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 89.6% | 10.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.6% | 4.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: St. Bonaventure Bonnies -10 (57-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Smith | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 27 | +0.8 |
| I. Wolf | 33 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 5-5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 4 | +1.6 |
| R. Harris | 28 | 3-9 | 0-1 | 9-9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 16 | +1.1 |
| S. Wheeler | 26 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +0.9 |
| N. Lear | 20 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | -1.3 |
| S. Dawkins | 15 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -0.6 |
| O. Leung | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -4 | -0.9 |
| J. Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.2 |
| M. O'Riordan | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| N. Stephens | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +2.1 |
| Denika Lightbourne | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.3 |
| A. Madol | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 | -0.1 |
St. Bonaventure Bonnies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Shaw | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 6 | -0.5 |
| D. Haskell | 36 | 5-18 | 2-9 | 8-8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 4 | +0.1 |
| G. Robinson | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| C. Frost | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -1.5 |
| M. Pettinelli | 20 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1.3 |
| H. Richardson | 20 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 5 | +0.5 |
| M. Smith | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +1.7 |
| Tamar voor de Poort | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | +1.3 |
* = starter